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politicselection· POLY-870851

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

$36.1K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

260K-275K

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes89.2%
Buy Yes 89.2%
No98.8%
Buy No 98.8%

275K-290K

polymarket · open

$6.2K vol
Yes85.0%
Buy Yes 85.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

290K-305K

polymarket · open

$11.9K vol
Yes83.0%
Buy Yes 83.0%
No97.0%
Buy No 97.0%

305K-320K

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes23.0%
Buy Yes 23.0%
No90.0%
Buy No 90.0%

320K+

polymarket · open

$6.5K vol
Yes20.4%
Buy Yes 20.4%
No97.9%
Buy No 97.9%

245K-260K

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes5.00%
Buy Yes 5.00%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

<230K

polymarket · open

$1.6K vol
Yes2.40%
Buy Yes 2.40%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

230K-245K

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck