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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politicselection· POLY-870854

Montana Senate Election: Turnout

$20.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

450K-500K

polymarket · open

$3.6K vol
Yes92.1%
Buy Yes 92.1%
No56.7%
Buy No 56.7%

500K-550K

polymarket · open

$8.1K vol
Yes48.0%
Buy Yes 48.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

550K-600K

polymarket · open

$3.0K vol
Yes22.8%
Buy Yes 22.8%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

400K-450K

polymarket · open

$1.0K vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

350K-400K

polymarket · open

$3.3K vol
Yes2.20%
Buy Yes 2.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

<350K

polymarket · open

$740 vol
Yes0.90%
Buy Yes 0.90%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

600K+

polymarket · open

$922 vol
Yes0.40%
Buy Yes 0.40%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Montana Senate Election: Turnout | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck