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politicselection· POLY-870863

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

$17.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

1M-1.1M

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol
Yes88.2%
Buy Yes 88.2%
No89.5%
Buy No 89.5%

900K-1M

polymarket · open

$3.5K vol
Yes84.5%
Buy Yes 84.5%
No95.0%
Buy No 95.0%

1.1M+

polymarket · open

$3.7K vol
Yes46.3%
Buy Yes 46.3%
No94.7%
Buy No 94.7%

800K-900K

polymarket · open

$4.8K vol
Yes23.5%
Buy Yes 23.5%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

600K-700K

polymarket · open

$962 vol
Yes17.6%
Buy Yes 17.6%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

700K-800K

polymarket · open

$2.8K vol
Yes3.00%
Buy Yes 3.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

<600K

polymarket · open

$831 vol
Yes2.90%
Buy Yes 2.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Mississippi, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck