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politicselection· POLY-870867

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

$29.9K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

700K-750K

polymarket · open

$14.1K vol
Yes90.0%
Buy Yes 90.0%
No63.0%
Buy No 63.0%

750K-800K

polymarket · open

$4.2K vol
Yes54.0%
Buy Yes 54.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

900K+

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes29.9%
Buy Yes 29.9%
No99.6%
Buy No 99.6%

800K-850K

polymarket · open

$1.7K vol
Yes27.0%
Buy Yes 27.0%
No99.0%
Buy No 99.0%

650K-700K

polymarket · open

$4.4K vol
Yes13.6%
Buy Yes 13.6%
No98.4%
Buy No 98.4%

850K-900K

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol
Yes6.30%
Buy Yes 6.30%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

<600K

polymarket · open

$1.9K vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

600K-650K

polymarket · open

$1.2K vol
Yes0.30%
Buy Yes 0.30%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck