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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politicselection· POLY-870881

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout

$24.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

4M-4.25M

polymarket · open

$5.0K vol
Yes92.0%
Buy Yes 92.0%
No96.0%
Buy No 96.0%

4.25M-4.5M

polymarket · open

$5.8K vol
Yes87.0%
Buy Yes 87.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

4.5M-4.75M

polymarket · open

$4.9K vol
Yes81.0%
Buy Yes 81.0%
No93.0%
Buy No 93.0%

3.75M-4M

polymarket · open

$1.4K vol
Yes67.2%
Buy Yes 67.2%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

4.75M+

polymarket · open

$2.3K vol
Yes13.9%
Buy Yes 13.9%
No98.6%
Buy No 98.6%

3.5M-3.75M

polymarket · open

$847 vol
Yes5.80%
Buy Yes 5.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

3.25M-3.5M

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes1.80%
Buy Yes 1.80%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

<3.25M

polymarket · open

$2.4K vol
Yes1.50%
Buy Yes 1.50%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Illinois Senate Election: Turnout | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck