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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politicselection· POLY-870883

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout

$46.5K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

340K-370K

polymarket · open

$8.4K vol
Yes86.6%
Buy Yes 86.6%
No99.2%
Buy No 99.2%

310K-340K

polymarket · open

$2.6K vol
Yes34.8%
Buy Yes 34.8%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

370K-400K

polymarket · open

$10.0K vol
Yes31.0%
Buy Yes 31.0%
No86.0%
Buy No 86.0%

430K-460K

polymarket · open

$12.1K vol
Yes19.5%
Buy Yes 19.5%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

460K-490K

polymarket · open

$2.2K vol
Yes18.6%
Buy Yes 18.6%
No99.4%
Buy No 99.4%

400K-430K

polymarket · open

$5.3K vol
Yes14.5%
Buy Yes 14.5%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

490K+

polymarket · open

$2.5K vol
Yes7.40%
Buy Yes 7.40%
No99.5%
Buy No 99.5%

<310K

polymarket · open

$3.4K vol
Yes2.60%
Buy Yes 2.60%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck