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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politicselection· POLY-870911

New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout

$20.2K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

8 markets

700K-750K

polymarket · open

$3.6K vol
Yes95.0%
Buy Yes 95.0%
No42.0%
Buy No 42.0%

750K-800K

polymarket · open

$4.0K vol
Yes72.0%
Buy Yes 72.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

850K+

polymarket · open

$1.3K vol
Yes4.60%
Buy Yes 4.60%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

650K-700K

polymarket · open

$3.1K vol
Yes4.00%
Buy Yes 4.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

600K-650K

polymarket · open

$4.7K vol
Yes2.00%
Buy Yes 2.00%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

<550K

polymarket · open

$888 vol
Yes1.90%
Buy Yes 1.90%
No99.8%
Buy No 99.8%

800K-850K

polymarket · open

$1.5K vol
Yes1.80%
Buy Yes 1.80%
No99.7%
Buy No 99.7%

550K-600K

polymarket · open

$1.1K vol
Yes1.30%
Buy Yes 1.30%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 18, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from New Mexico, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck