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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

politics· POLY-881573

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

$67.4K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

Grüne

polymarket · open

$4.7K vol
Yes89.8%
Buy Yes 89.8%
No86.6%
Buy No 86.6%

AfD

polymarket · open

$19.3K vol
Yes82.0%
Buy Yes 82.0%
No64.0%
Buy No 64.0%

CDU

polymarket · open

$6.8K vol
Yes19.0%
Buy Yes 19.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%

BSW

polymarket · open

$6.9K vol
Yes17.5%
Buy Yes 17.5%
No94.3%
Buy No 94.3%

SPD

polymarket · open

$14.8K vol
Yes9.00%
Buy Yes 9.00%
No94.0%
Buy No 94.0%

Linke

polymarket · open

$12.4K vol
Yes8.00%
Buy Yes 8.00%
No96.9%
Buy No 96.9%

FDP

polymarket · open

$2.4K vol
Yes5.20%
Buy Yes 5.20%
No96.8%
Buy No 96.8%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 20, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck