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politicselection· POLY-886836

Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$28.7K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

6 markets

Uba Sani

polymarket · open

$22.8K vol
Yes64.0%
Buy Yes 64.0%
No40.0%
Buy No 40.0%

Shehu Bawa

polymarket · open

$492 vol
Yes28.2%
Buy Yes 28.2%
No98.2%
Buy No 98.2%

Mohammed Ashiru Isa

polymarket · open

$3.2K vol
Yes21.0%
Buy Yes 21.0%
No98.0%
Buy No 98.0%

Danjuma Laah

polymarket · open

$769 vol
Yes4.70%
Buy Yes 4.70%
No98.9%
Buy No 98.9%

Aminu Abdulfatah

polymarket · open

$785 vol
Yes1.00%
Buy Yes 1.00%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Auwal Tafoki

polymarket · open

$592 vol
Yes0.20%
Buy Yes 0.20%
No99.9%
Buy No 99.9%

Timeline

Opened
Aug 21, 2026
Closes
Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Kaduna State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Kaduna State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.

Kaduna, Nigeria Governor Election Winner | Jupiter Prediction | CoinDuck