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Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity

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cryptocrypto· POLY-91926

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$4.1M volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970

Market outcomes

Current implied probabilities and volume.

7 markets

$150M

polymarket · open

$693.1K vol

Yes73.0%

Buy Yes 73.0%

No29.0%

Buy No 29.0%

$300M

polymarket · open

$1.6M vol

Yes26.0%

Buy Yes 26.0%

No78.0%

Buy No 78.0%

$500M

polymarket · open

$1.2M vol

Yes13.0%

Buy Yes 13.0%

No89.0%

Buy No 89.0%

$800M

polymarket · open

$272.7K vol

Yes8.00%

Buy Yes 8.00%

No93.0%

Buy No 93.0%

$1B

polymarket · open

$123.7K vol

Yes4.60%

Buy Yes 4.60%

No95.9%

Buy No 95.9%

$3B

polymarket · open

$99.4K vol

Yes2.70%

Buy Yes 2.70%

No98.3%

Buy No 98.3%

$2B

polymarket · open

$118.4K vol

Yes2.00%

Buy Yes 2.00%

No98.8%

Buy No 98.8%

Timeline

Opened: Feb 16, 2026
Closes: Jan 1, 1970

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Extended's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Extended (https://x.com/extendedapp) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".