Below 5.25%
polymarket · open
Yes90.0%
Buy Yes 90.0%
No14.0%
Buy No 14.0%
Jupiter Trending
Prediction markets on Solana — trending events and market activity
economics· POLY-956930
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$266.8K volumeCloses Jan 1, 1970
Market outcomes
Current implied probabilities and volume.
$8.5K vol
Below 5.20%
polymarket · open
Yes69.0%
Buy Yes 69.0%
No32.0%
Buy No 32.0%
Below 5.15%
polymarket · open
Yes57.0%
Buy Yes 57.0%
No47.0%
Buy No 47.0%
Below 5.10%
polymarket · open
Yes51.0%
Buy Yes 51.0%
No50.0%
Buy No 50.0%
Below 5.05%
polymarket · open
Yes36.0%
Buy Yes 36.0%
No65.0%
Buy No 65.0%
Below 5.00%
polymarket · open
Yes27.0%
Buy Yes 27.0%
No78.0%
Buy No 78.0%
Below 4.95%
polymarket · open
Yes15.0%
Buy Yes 15.0%
No88.0%
Buy No 88.0%
Below 4.90%
polymarket · open
Yes12.0%
Buy Yes 12.0%
No89.0%
Buy No 89.0%
Below 4.80%
polymarket · open
Yes10.3%
Buy Yes 10.3%
No92.7%
Buy No 92.7%
Below 4.60%
polymarket · open
Yes5.90%
Buy Yes 5.90%
No94.5%
Buy No 94.5%
Timeline
- Opened
- Oct 23, 2026
- Closes
- Jan 1, 1970
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).